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The AFC North-leading Bengals (11-4, 5-1 residence, 12-3 ATS) host the Buffalo Payments (12-3, 6-2 highway, 7-7-1 ATS) on Monday night time in Cincinnati, who’ve already AFC East and may reclaim first place within the convention with a win. The Bengals would clinch their second consecutive division title with a win and keep within the hunt for the AFC division lead. NFL playoff bracket.
The percentages of a match are low. Buffalo is presently a 1.5-point highway favourite heading into Monday NFL odds -After unlocking the first.
Payments vs. Bengals odds
|group||Unfold out||Moneyline:||That is all|
|Payments||-1.5 (-110)||-122||49.5 (-114)|
|Bengals||+1.5 (-110)||+104||49.5 (-106)|
The match complete stays at 49.5, which is unchanged Week 17 opening odds.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM EST at Paycor Stadium. The printed can be carried by ESPN.
Two lengthy successful streaks on the road
Monday’s sport pits the 2 longest successful streaks within the AFC in opposition to one another. Solely the NFC’s San Francisco 49ers, who’ve received 9 straight, have longer energetic streaks than the Bengals (7) and Payments (6).
ATS traits have not been almost as sort to Buffalo. Regardless of a 12-3 straight-up file, the Payments are only a .500 group in opposition to the unfold, sitting at 7-7-1 coming into Monday. They’re 3-6 ATS of their final 9.
The Bengals, then again, have one of the best ATS file within the league at 12-3. Cincinnati has lined the unfold in all 11 of its wins, plus a 19-17 loss at Baltimore in Week 5 as a three-point underdog.
The Payments and Bengals each cashed in quite a lot of unders
Each groups have been closely skewed in direction of the low finish this season. Buffalo is 5-10 over/underneath and Cincinnati is 5-9-1 o/u. Nonetheless, the pattern has been loads extra well-liked early within the season than late.
They went a mixed 1-9 o/u via the primary 5 weeks of the season. Of their final 14 video games mixed, they’re 7-7 o/w. (Buffalo completed 4-3, Cincinnati 3-4).
There isn’t a current historical past between the events, no less than none related. They final met in 2019 at Orchard Park, when sophomore Josh Allen led the Payments to a 21-17 victory over Andy Dalton’s Bengals. (Joe Burrow was busy successful a nationwide championship at LSU).
Damage information and notes
Cincinnati misplaced offensive deal with Lael Collins to a torn ACL in Week 16. His substitute can be Hakeem Adeniji, a 2020 sixth-round pick of Kansas. Many pundits noticed Collins’ loss as vital, nevertheless PFF Participant Rankings don’t comply with some extent. Collins had a 57.9 score, which was within the low seventieth out of 81 certified OTs. Adeniji’s score is barely barely decrease (52.8).
The Bengals may be with out group sack chief Sam Hubbard (6.5 sacks). The sting rusher is questionable with a calf damage.
Buffalo security Jordan Poyer is questionable with a knee damage. His absence can be a blow, because the Payments are already down Micah Hyde and Christian Benford within the secondary.
Payments vs. Bengals Prediction
What the Bengals’ spectacular successful streak fails to point out is that Cincinnati has struggled via two high quality halves of soccer over the past three weeks. They have been shut out for the primary 20-plus minutes in opposition to the Browns in Week 14; they trailed Tampa Bay 17-3 halfway via Week 15; and so they almost blew a 22-0 lead in opposition to New England in Week 16, holding on for a 22-18 victory because of a Patriots fumble on the 5-yard line within the closing minute.
Briefly, there’s an excessive amount of inconsistency in Cincinnati’s efficiency for me to wager in opposition to them in opposition to arguably one of the best group. NFL. However I am additionally not comfy betting in opposition to the Bengals at residence. When this offense clicks, it’s borderline unstoppable.
As an alternative, my favourite factor about this sport is the participant assist. Joe Burrow is -108 underneath 0.5 interceptions. Buffalo is tied for the league’s prime half with 14 INTs on the yr, whereas Burrow averages about one a sport (13 picks in 15 video games). However his file at residence over the previous two seasons does not permit for any shutouts. Burrow did not throw a shutout in 5 of 9 residence video games final season and has a clear sheet in 4 of six residence video games this season.
Buffalo’s protection has had no less than one choose in its first 4 highway video games this yr, however has not had an interception in its final 4. After the Payments’ second spherical is over, I am betting 5 video games on Monday night time.
Finest Guess: Joe Burrow Underneath 0.5 Break (-108)
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